This will be just the third modern-era Olympic golf tournament, but luckily for handicappers who use course history as a basis for their bets, it’s being played on a track — Le Golf National, around 20 miles to the southwest of Paris — that’s been a near-regular stop on the DP World Tour since 1991 with the Open de France. The course also hosted the 2018 Ryder Cup, a blowout victory for Team Europe.

Water is prevalent on the course and comes into play on three of the final four holes, which have been dubbed “The Gauntlet.” The 18th, which saw action in only six of 28 Ryder Cup matches in 2018 thanks to the European match-play romp, is the hardest on the course, as tee shots must navigate bunkers and rough on the right and water on the left, and second shots must find an island green modeled after the infamous 17th at TPC Sawgrass.

Those three letters — TPC — are something to keep in mind this week, as the course was constructed more as a place where tens of thousands of golf fans can comfortably gather to watch a tournament (just as the PGA Tour’s TPC courses are in the United States) and less as a place to truly challenge the world’s best players. The winning score of the Open de France has been double digits under par in six of the past seven years.

This American-style stadium design should perhaps mitigate any edge that Europeans and DP World Tour regulars might have given their familiarity with the course. None of the four U.S. golfers has played Le Golf National competitively, but I’m going to guess they’re quite familiar with what they’re going to encounter: a course where accuracy off the tee trumps driving distance (expect a lot of irons from the tee boxes, thanks to all the water) and where precise approach play is a must.

Here are some of the players I’d consider backing. Odds taken Tuesday from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Schauffele, the defending Olympic gold medalist and winner of two of the past three grand slam events, is coming off one of the best cumulative major-championship performances in recent history. Over 16 grand slam rounds this season, he gained 63.6 strokes on the field, the sixth-best total since 1983 and the best since Jordan Spieth in 2015. Schauffele has gone from a guy who couldn’t close at majors to the game’s preeminent big-game hunter, and it would not surprise me if his motivation is high for a repeat gold medal.

I’m putting these other two Americans together because you probably can’t go wrong with either of them (I’m not touching Wyndham Clark, the fourth and final U.S. player in the field; his game is all out of sorts right now). Scheffler, the world’s top-ranked player, is top 20 in both strokes gained: approach and driving accuracy this season, while Morikawa ranks fourth in driving accuracy and 41st in approach. Fourteen of Scheffler’s 16 starts this season have resulted in either a win (six of them) or a top-10 finish, while Morikawa has finished no worse than a tie for 23rd in his past 11 tournaments, with six top 10s.

Rahm has finished in the top 10 in all but one event during his first season on the LIV Golf circuit (the one miss was because he withdrew due to a blister on his foot), claiming his first title at last week’s LIV Golf UK tournament. LIV events don’t exactly have the toughest fields, and Rahm’s first two major-championship appearances this year did not go well (T-45 at the Masters, missed cut at the PGA Championship). But a tie for seventh at the British Open could be a sign of momentum, and the Spaniard has a T-5 and T-10 in his two stroke-play appearances at Le Golf National.

Fleetwood has a peculiar history at Le Golf National. He won the 2017 Open de France and went 4-1 in match play there at the 2018 Ryder Cup, but he’s also missed the cut in his five other Open de France appearances. Still, it’s hard not to like a guy who ranks eighth on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy and gains strokes on approach in nearly every tournament he plays.

Lowry, a flag bearer for Ireland in the Opening Ceremonies who has talked about how proud he is to represent his country, has finished no worse than a tie for 19th in his past three tournaments, and two of them were major championships. Take away a calamitous nine-hole stretch during the British Open’s third round, and we might be talking about Lowry being a two-time Champion Golfer of the Year. Instead, we’ll get a slightly discounted price for an accurate driver (17th in driving accuracy) who has two career top 20s at Le Golf National.

Kim played Le Golf National last year and tied for sixth in the Open de France. He also has a tie for fourth and a tie for second among his past seven tournaments. Kim’s motivation to win a gold medal could be high: South Korean men must serve at least 18 months in the military, but they receive an exemption if they win gold medals at either the Olympics or the Asian Games.

The Swede has perhaps the best combination of course history, course experience and recent form. Noren won at Le Golf National in 2018 and has finished 18th or better in five of his eight appearances at the Open de France. He also went 2-1 at Le Golf National in the 2018 Ryder Cup. Though Noren has not won this year, he has seven top-15 finishes, including a tie for 12th at the PGA Championship and a tie for 13th at the British Open.

Migliozzi has cooled down a bit of late, with two missed cuts in his past three tournaments, but a tie for 31st at the British Open hinted at the form that he had earlier this season, when he won a DP World Tour event in June. That was part of a five-tournament stretch in which the Italian carded three top 10s and finished no worse than a tie for 24th. Migliozzi also won the 2022 Open de France and has been an accurate driver off the tee this year.

As of Tuesday, here were the odds to win the Olympic men’s golf tournament of the leading contenders, according to DraftKings Sportsbook:

• Scottie Scheffler: +330
• Xander Schauffele: +550
• Rory McIlroy: +750
• Jon Rahm: +1000
• Collin Morikawa: +1000
• Ludvig Aberg: +1200
• Tommy Fleetwood: +1800
• Joaquín Niemann: +2200
• Viktor Hovland: +2500
• Tom Kim: +2500
• Shane Lowry: +2500
• Corey Conners: +3000
• Alex Noren: +3000