The Miami Heat are set to host the Philadelphia 76ers at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday at Kaseya Center. Miami is 5-7 overall and 1-3 at home, while Philadelphia is 2-10 overall and 1-5 on the road. The Heat have won nine of their past 12 home games against the 76ers. Tyrese Maxey (hamstring) has been ruled out of Monday’s contest, while Joel Embiid (illness) is doubtful.  

This time around, the Heat are favored by 4.5 points in the latest Heat vs. 76ers odds, and the over/under is 212.5 points. Before entering any 76ers vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 109-74 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Philadelphia-Miami. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

• Heat vs. 76ers spread: Heat -4.5
• Heat vs. 76ers over/under: 212.5 points
• Heat vs. 76ers money line: Heat -202, 76ers +168
• Heat vs. 76ers picks: See picks here
• Heat vs. 76ers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Heat can cover

On Sunday, the Heat couldn’t handle the Pacers and fell 119-110. The loss doesn’t tell the whole story though, as several players had good games. One of the most active was Tyler Herro, who went 7 for 11 from beyond the arc en route to 28 points. What’s more, he also posted a 63.6% 3-point shooting accuracy, which is the highest he’s posted since back in December of 2023. For the season, Herro is averaging 24.8 points, 5.2 assists and 4.8 rebounds per game.

Offensively, the Heat are scoring 111.3 points per game this season. Miami is connecting on 39.1% of its 3-point attempts, which ranks third in the NBA.  

Why the 76ers can cover

Meanwhile, the 76ers’ recent rough patch got a bit rougher on Friday after their third straight loss. They took a 98-86 hit to the loss column at the hands of the Magic. The contest marked Philadelphia’s lowest-scoring match so far this season. Jared McCain put forth a good effort for the losing side as he went 10 for 17 en route to 29 points. Perhaps unsurprisingly given the score, the 76ers struggled to get the ball back on offense and finished the game with only six offensive rebounds. 

The 76ers are 1-8 in their last nine games, but they are 4-1 against the spread in their past five games played on a Monday. 

How to make Heat vs. 76ers picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. 76ers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins 76ers vs. Heat, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 109-74 roll on top-rated NBA picks since last season, and find out.